Friday, February 5, 2010

Who's The Greatest Quarterback of All Time? - Part 2

In Part 2 of this three part series I will discuss the "candidates" and provide additional qualifiers and dis-qualifiers for each one.  Based on the qualifying statistics and awards from Part 1 and the dis-qualifiers in Part 2, I will then compile my Top 3 list in Part 3.

What should qualify and disqualify each candidate from consideration?

90's-current
  • Peyton Manning (1998-2010)
    • 10 of 12 years with 4000+ yds
    • Numerous single-season records
    • On pace to set all significant career passing records
    • Heady quarterback, but with limited physical abilities
  • Brett Favre (1991-2010)
    • 309 consecutive starts (including playoffs) which is 100 more than Peyton Manning (2nd all-time)
    • Numerous career passing records 
    • Most Pro Bowl appearances in a career
    • 317 Ints
    • Threw an Int on the last pass he threw with Packers, Jets, and Vikings.  With Packers and Vikings Ints leading to a loss in the NFC Championship both times.
  • Kurt Warner (1998-2010)
    • 12 seasons - played all 16 games 3 seasons
    • 5 great seasons - 5 average seasons - 2 seasons of 2 games or less
    • Tom Brady (2000-2010)
      • 14-3 career playoff record
      • 8 full seasons played - 7 average to above average seasons - 1 record breaking season
      • Very good TD/Int ratio
      • Some consider him a system QB (see Matt Cassel's success)
      • Troy Aikman (1989-2000)
        • Poor TD/Int ratio for his career 
        • 12 seasons - played all 16 games 3 seasons
        • 7 seasons with less than 3000 yds and 7 seasons with less than 15 TDs
        80's-90's
        • Joe Montana (1979-1994)
          • Played his best in the biggest games
          • 31 career 4th qtr comebacks
          • Propensity for injury
        • Steve Young (1985-1999)
          • Career QB rating of 96.8 is best all-time
          • 8-6 career postseason record
          • 6 NFL passing crowns
          • Small sample size with only 7.5 seasons as full time starter
          • Elite running QB - averaged 5.9 yds/car for career
        • Dan Marino (1983-1999)
          • Couldn't win the big game
          • 1 of 2 QBs to throw for 5000+yds in a season
          • When he retired he held the majority of all the significant career passing records
        • John Elway (1983-1998)
          • Couldn't win the big game until he had the help of an elite running game
          • Average Completion % 
          • All Time leader in 4th quarter game winning or tying drives with 47
          • 12 seasons of 3000+yds
        • Warren Moon (1984-2000)
          • Couldn't win the big game in the NFL
          • Completion % and TD/Int ratio dropped from CFL to NFL 
          • Combining his NFL and CFL stats, Moon's numbers are nearly unmatched in professional football history
        • Jim Kelly (1986-1996)
          • Couldn't win the big game
          • Very bad numbers in Super Bowls
          • Ran a no-huddle offense that was so successful that the NFL changed the rules to allow defenses time to change formations in a no-huddle situation.
        70's-80's
        • Roger Staubach (1969-1979)
          • Average completion %
          • Highest QB rating of all-time at time of retirement
          • Reputation for making the big play
          • "Creator" of the "Hail Mary" pass
          • Small sample size with only 8 seasons as full-time starter
        • Terry Bradshaw (1970-1983)
          • Won 4 Super Bowls in 6 seasons
          • TD to Int ratio nearly 1:1
          • Strong, but erratic arm
          • Played his best in the playoffs and in big games
        • Ken Stabler (1970-1984)
          • More Ints than TDs for his career
          • Threw for more Ints than TDs in 5 seasons as full-time starter
          • Uncanny ability to make the big play or lead the come from behind drive
          • At the time was the quickest player to win 100 games, since surpassed by only Montana and Brady
        60's-70's
        • Fran Tarkenton (1961-1978)
          • Good playoff QB, but couldn't win the big game
          • Career passing yards leader at time of retirement (currently 6th)
          • Elite running QB - averaged 5.4 yds/car for career
        • Joe Namath (1965-1977)
          • Threw nearly 50 more Ints than TDs for his career
          • Threw more TDs than Ints in a season only twice in his career
          • Average to Below Average Completion %
          • Only QB to throw for 4000 yds in a 14 game season
          • Credited with helping to evolve the NFL from a run oriented league to the open passing style league seen today
        50's-60's
        • Len Dawson (1957-1975)
          • Career passer rating of 82.6 was the best all-time at time of retirement
          •  7 above average to great seasons during 19 year career
          • Excelled in the AFL, but struggled in the NFL
          • Lead Chiefs to a surprise victory in Super Bowl IV
        • Johnny Unitas (1956-1973)
          • Held the record for most Pro Bowl appearances at time of retirement (since tied by Peyton Manning and passed by Brett Favre)
          • At time of retirement his 118 wins was the standard and still remains 6th all-time
          • Holds the NFL record for consecutive games with a TD pass at 47 games
          • Career passing yards leader at time of retirment (currently 11th)
          • Thrived under pressure, exceptional leader
        • Bart Starr (1956-1971)
          • Won 5 NFL Championships in 7 seasons
          • Career record of 9-1 in playoffs, 2-0 in Super Bowl
          • Career Completion % leader at time of retirement
          • Did not play in a pass first offense, so statistical comparisons can be difficult
          • May have been a "system quarterback" as his success came almost exclusively under Lombardi
        40's-50's
        • Otto Graham (1946-1955)
          • Career record as starter an astounding 105-17-4
          • Played 10 seasons of Pro Football and led his team to 10 Championship games, winning 7 of them
          • Played QB out of the T-formation, which is obsolete in today's NFL making comparisons difficult
        • Y.A. Tittle (1948-1964)
          • Couldn't win the big game, losing 3 consecutive Championships
          • The first and one of only 8 QBs to have consecutive 30+ TD passing seasons
          • Threw more Ints than TDs in his career
          • In 15 year career had only 4 great seasons
        Pre-Modern Era
        • Sammy Baugh (1937-1952)
          • Turned the forward pass from something to be used with caution, into a primary offensive weapon
          • One of the key influences to the offensive revolution
          • Played Offense, Defense, and Special Teams throughout his career
          • At the time of his retirement held the record for most career NFL passing titles, with 6
          • More of a "Football Player" than a "Quarterback"
          • Threw more Ints than TDs in his career
        That is the conclusion of Part 2.  Based on the stats, awards, "qualifiers", and "dis-qualifiers" I will unveil my list of my Top 3 QBs of All-Time in my third and final installment.  I will post the third installment after the Super Bowl to see if Peyton Manning's performance can influence my opinion one way or another.

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